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29 Mar 2013
Forex Flash: USD/CHF potential decline ahead – Societe Generale
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The cross is now trading in a very narrow range between 0.9490 and 0.9500 on Friday, stabilizing after climbing as high as the boundaries of 0.9560 on Wednesday, following the positive momentum of the USD.
The research team at Societe Generale commented, “ USD/CHF realized vol now very toppish and we expect it to diminish. The realized vols of EUR/USD and USD/CHF are now at similar levels, and this cannot last, as the positive correlation between EUR/USD and EUR/CHF will dampen USD/CHF moves. All in all, this should pressure the USD/CHF implied vol curve lower”.
The research team at Societe Generale commented, “ USD/CHF realized vol now very toppish and we expect it to diminish. The realized vols of EUR/USD and USD/CHF are now at similar levels, and this cannot last, as the positive correlation between EUR/USD and EUR/CHF will dampen USD/CHF moves. All in all, this should pressure the USD/CHF implied vol curve lower”.